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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball Oklahoma 0
Loading Week 11, 2026
Has the ball Ole Miss 0
Field position OKLAHOMA OLE MISS 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Oklahoma0.00.00.00.00.0
Ole Miss0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Oklahoma 79%, by about 10
79% OklahomaOle Miss 21%

What Oklahoma needs to do

3.8yards a carry
With the ball

More carries for L. Avant

Runs by L. Avant work 45% of the time (15 of 33, 3.8 yards a carry). Ole Miss lets runs work 49% of the time (all teams 45%).

13%Ole Miss allows 29%
With the ball

Ole Miss takes away the run on 2nd and long

Oklahoma's runs on 2nd and long work 13% of the time (2 of 15), and Ole Miss holds them to 29% (7 of 24). All teams: 31%.

56%Ole Miss allows 62%
With the ball

Throw on 2nd and medium

Oklahoma's passes on 2nd and medium work 56% of the time (5 of 9), and Ole Miss lets them work 62% (5 of 8). All teams: 51%.

78%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away C. Cunningham

Small sample

T. Chambliss to C. Cunningham works 78% of the time (7 of 9 throws, 7 caught, 7.6 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 49%.

38%Oklahoma allows on 3rd and short
On defense

Win 3rd and short against the run

Ole Miss's runs on 3rd and short work 80% of the time (8 of 10), and Oklahoma holds them to 38% (3 of 8). All teams: 69%.

Tale of the tape

Oklahoma Ole Miss
37%124th of 137 Plays that work on offense 15th of 13751%
34%133rd of 137 Runs that work 14th of 13751%
40%89th of 137 Passes that work 19th of 13750%
36%101st of 137 Third downs converted 61st of 13742%
9%118th of 137 Big plays on offense 89th of 13711%
24%130th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 51st of 13714%
1.35126th of 137 Points per drive 27th of 1372.95
30%4th of 137 Plays that work against the defense 126th of 13748%
25%4th of 137 Third downs allowed 122nd of 13746%
13%2nd of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 100th of 1375%
7%92nd of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 18th of 1373%
20%18th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 114th of 13713%
1.3129th of 137 Points per drive allowed 124th of 1372.59

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Oklahoma's 4 games and Ole Miss's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Oklahoma Ole Miss

    Talking points

    This season

    3.8yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for L. Avant

    Runs by L. Avant work 45% of the time (15 of 33, 3.8 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 14% (4 of 29).

    24%of runs stuffed
    Offense

    Too many runs go nowhere

    24% of Oklahoma's runs are stopped for no gain or a loss, against 16% for all teams. That ranks 130th of 137.

    38%of available yards gained
    Offense

    Finish what the drive starts

    Oklahoma gains 38% of the yards between its starting spot and the end zone, against 47% for all teams. That ranks 128th of 137.

    23%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 23% of the time, against 41% for all teams (10 of 43 plays).

    17%all teams 31%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and long

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 17% of the time, against 31% for all teams (4 of 24 plays).

    All of Oklahoma's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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