nextsnap
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Has the ball Texas Tech 0
Loading Week 13, 2026
Has the ball TCU 0
Field position TEXAS TECH TCU 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Texas Tech0.00.00.00.00.0
TCU0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Texas Tech 74%, by about 9
74% Texas TechTCU 26%

What Texas Tech needs to do

65%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to C. Eakin

W. Hammond to C. Eakin works 65% of the time (13 of 20 throws, 15 caught, 9.4 yards a throw). TCU lets passes work 37% of the time (all teams 43%).

75%TCU allows 62%
With the ball

Run on 2nd and medium

Texas Tech's runs on 2nd and medium work 75% of the time (12 of 16), and TCU lets them work 62% (5 of 8). All teams: 49%.

75%TCU allows 33%
With the ball

TCU takes away the run on 2nd and short

Texas Tech's runs on 2nd and short work 75% of the time (12 of 16), and TCU holds them to 33% (4 of 12). All teams: 68%.

64%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away K. Ashley

J. Craig to K. Ashley works 64% of the time (18 of 28 throws, 21 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 38%.

8%of TCU dropbacks end in a sack
On defense

Get to the quarterback

TCU's quarterback has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (13 of 157). Texas Tech gets a sack on 5%. All teams: 5%.

Tale of the tape

Texas Tech TCU
47%43rd of 138 Plays that work on offense 82nd of 13842%
48%36th of 138 Runs that work 94th of 13842%
45%46th of 138 Passes that work 70th of 13843%
46%30th of 138 Third downs converted 78th of 13839%
13%50th of 138 Big plays on offense 95th of 13811%
19%109th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 105th of 13819%
2.0282nd of 138 Points per drive 109th of 1381.67
38%43rd of 138 Plays that work against the defense 28th of 13837%
38%70th of 138 Third downs allowed 35th of 13833%
5%93rd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 53rd of 1387%
5%71st of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 111th of 1388%
17%40th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 59th of 13816%
1.039th of 138 Points per drive allowed 16th of 1381.21

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Texas Tech's 5 games and TCU's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Texas Tech TCU

    Talking points

    This season

    19%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    19% of Texas Tech's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 131st of 138.

    57%of short yardage runs converted
    Offense

    Convert short yardage

    Small sample

    Texas Tech converts 57% of its runs on third or fourth and 2 or less, against 71% for all teams. That ranks 116th of 134.

    65%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to C. Eakin

    W. Hammond to C. Eakin works 65% of the time (13 of 20 throws, 15 caught, 9.4 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 42%. He gets 15% of the targets.

    15%all teams 48%
    Defense

    Stopping the run in the red zone

    Small sample

    Opponents' runs in the red zone work 15% of the time, against 48% for all teams (2 of 13 plays).

    27%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 27% of the time, against 41% for all teams (15 of 56 plays).

    All of Texas Tech's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.