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Has the ball Kansas State 0
Loading Week 7, 2026
Has the ball Kansas 0
Field position KANSAS STATE KANSAS 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Kansas State0.00.00.00.00.0
Kansas0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Kansas 57%, by about 3
43% Kansas StateKansas 57%

What Kansas State needs to do

52%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to J. Tibbs

A. Johnson to J. Tibbs works 52% of the time (11 of 21 throws, 13 caught, 6.9 yards a throw). Kansas lets passes work 31% of the time (all teams 43%).

62%Kansas allows 50%
With the ball

Throw on 3rd and medium

Kansas State's passes on 3rd and medium work 62% of the time (10 of 16), and Kansas lets them work 50% (4 of 8). All teams: 43%.

40%Kansas allows 41%
With the ball

Kansas takes away the pass on 1st and long

Kansas State's passes on 1st and long work 40% of the time (21 of 53), and Kansas holds them to 41% (11 of 27). All teams: 49%.

56%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away N. Cox

Small sample

I. Marshall to N. Cox works 56% of the time (5 of 9 throws, 5 caught, 14.8 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 37%.

38%Kansas State allows on 3rd and long
On defense

Shore up the run defense on 3rd and long

Kansas's runs on 3rd and long work 50% of the time (4 of 8), and Kansas State has let them work 38% (3 of 8). All teams: 23%.

Tale of the tape

Kansas State Kansas
49%23rd of 138 Plays that work on offense 58th of 13845%
54%8th of 138 Runs that work 20th of 13850%
44%60th of 138 Passes that work 101st of 13838%
67%1st of 138 Third downs converted 92nd of 13838%
14%46th of 138 Big plays on offense 18th of 13816%
14%50th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 8th of 1389%
3.1115th of 138 Points per drive 90th of 1381.98
32%7th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 3rd of 13829%
33%33rd of 138 Third downs allowed 7th of 13827%
13%2nd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 82nd of 1386%
0%1st of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 77th of 1386%
21%10th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 12th of 13821%
1.5440th of 138 Points per drive allowed 27th of 1381.29

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Kansas State's 4 games and Kansas's 4 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Kansas State Kansas

    Talking points

    This season

    3 of 4third and fourth downs converted
    Offense

    J. Manning on third down

    Small sample

    On third and fourth down, A. Johnson to J. Manning has moved the chains 3 of 4 times (75%).

    68%quarterback runs that work
    Offense

    A. Johnson's legs are the run game

    A. Johnson's runs work 68% of the time (19 of 28). Handoffs work 49% (44 of 89).

    52%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to J. Tibbs

    A. Johnson to J. Tibbs works 52% of the time (11 of 21 throws, 13 caught, 6.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 43%. He gets 17% of the targets.

    16%of snaps allowed are big plays
    Defense

    Stop the big play

    16% of opponents' snaps go for a big play (28 of 179: runs of 10 or more, passes of 20 or more), against 13% for all teams.

    12%all teams 38%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 2nd and long

    Opponents' passes on 2nd and long (7 or more) work 12% of the time, against 38% for all teams (2 of 16 plays).

    All of Kansas State's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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