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Has the ball Georgia Southern 0
Loading Week 4, 2026
Has the ball Houston 0
Field position GEORGIA SOUTHERN HOUSTON 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Georgia Southern0.00.00.00.00.0
Houston0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Georgia Southern Houston

    Talking points

    This season

    67%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to R. Helms

    M. Johnson to R. Helms works 67% of the time (16 of 24 throws, 20 caught, 8.5 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 39%. He gets 13% of the targets.

    6.4yards a carry
    Offense

    More carries for W. Bryan

    Runs by W. Bryan work 57% of the time (13 of 23, 6.4 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 39% (31 of 80).

    17%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    17% of Georgia Southern's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 108th of 138.

    14%all teams 26%
    Defense

    Stopping the pass on 3rd and long

    Opponents' passes on 3rd and long (7 or more) work 14% of the time, against 26% for all teams (3 of 22 plays).

    41%all teams 48%
    Defense

    Stopping the run in the red zone

    Opponents' runs in the red zone work 41% of the time, against 48% for all teams (12 of 29 plays).

    All of Georgia Southern's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Houston 89%, by about 19
    11% Georgia SouthernHouston 89%

    What Georgia Southern needs to do

    67%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to R. Helms

    M. Johnson to R. Helms works 67% of the time (16 of 24 throws, 20 caught, 8.5 yards a throw). Houston lets passes work 40% of the time (all teams 43%).

    45%Houston allows 11%
    With the ball

    Houston takes away the pass on 3rd and medium

    Georgia Southern's passes on 3rd and medium work 45% of the time (5 of 11), and Houston holds them to 11% (1 of 9). All teams: 42%.

    90%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away R. Sanford II

    Small sample

    C. Weigman to R. Sanford II works 90% of the time (9 of 10 throws, 9 caught, 11.6 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 52%.

    39%Georgia Southern allows on 2nd and long
    On defense

    Shore up the pass defense on 2nd and long

    Houston's passes on 2nd and long work 58% of the time (18 of 31), and Georgia Southern has let them work 39% (11 of 28). All teams: 39%.

    Tale of the tape

    Georgia Southern Houston
    43%80th of 138 Plays that work on offense 4th of 13854%
    43%84th of 138 Runs that work 10th of 13853%
    43%73rd of 138 Passes that work 6th of 13855%
    42%64th of 138 Third downs converted 2nd of 13863%
    10%113th of 138 Big plays on offense 60th of 13813%
    14%57th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 9th of 13810%
    1.8997th of 138 Points per drive 7th of 1383.28
    41%71st of 138 Plays that work against the defense 58th of 13840%
    32%31st of 138 Third downs allowed 60th of 13837%
    7%57th of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 82nd of 1386%
    4%35th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 32nd of 1384%
    16%73rd of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 14th of 13821%
    2.0490th of 138 Points per drive allowed 31st of 1381.44

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Georgia Southern's 5 games and Houston's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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