Halftime
Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.
Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.
| Points added | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Arkansas State | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.
What each possession produced, and the plays that swung the game most.
Available yards is the share of the distance to the end zone a team gained on its drives. A play's swing is how much it changed the points a team could expect, so kicks and returns do not appear.
The game has not started.
Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.
| Measure | This game | Season |
|---|
Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.
TCU's plays work only 22% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 127th of 137.
J. Craig to K. Ashley works 64% of the time (18 of 28 throws, 21 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 38%. He gets 20% of the targets.
Only 43% of TCU's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 118th of 137.
Opponents' runs on 2nd and short (1-3 yards) work 33% of the time, against 68% for all teams (4 of 12 plays).
Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 28% of the time, against 41% for all teams (16 of 58 plays).
T. Owens to H. Summers works 67% of the time (18 of 27 throws, 19 caught, 9.6 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%. He gets 22% of the targets.
Arkansas State scores 1.72 points per drive, against 2.07 for all teams. That ranks 105th of 137.
Runs by K. Clay work 57% of the time (13 of 23, 3.8 yards a carry). Every other back combined: 43% (33 of 77).
Arkansas State wrecks 11% of opponents' snaps with a loss, a break-up or a takeaway, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 131st of 137.
Opponents' plays work 37% of the time on passing downs against Arkansas State (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 137.
"Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.
J. Craig to K. Ashley works 64% of the time (18 of 28 throws, 21 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Arkansas State lets passes work 47% of the time (all teams 43%).
TCU's runs on 2nd and medium work 36% of the time (4 of 11), and Arkansas State holds them to 35% (6 of 17). All teams: 50%.
TCU's passes on 2nd and long work 39% of the time (14 of 36), and Arkansas State lets them work 52% (13 of 25). All teams: 39%.
T. Owens to H. Summers works 67% of the time (18 of 27 throws, 19 caught, 9.6 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%.
Arkansas State's runs on 2nd and short work 44% of the time (4 of 9), and TCU holds them to 33% (4 of 12). All teams: 68%.
Arkansas State's runs on 2nd and short work 44% of the time (4 of 9), and TCU holds them to 33% (4 of 12). All teams: 68%.
T. Owens to H. Summers works 67% of the time (18 of 27 throws, 19 caught, 9.6 yards a throw). TCU lets passes work 37% of the time (all teams 43%).
J. Craig to K. Ashley works 64% of the time (18 of 28 throws, 21 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 38%.
TCU's quarterback has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (13 of 157). Arkansas State gets a sack on 3%. All teams: 5%.
Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using TCU's 5 games and Arkansas State's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.
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