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About and data sources Suggest an improvement
Has the ball TCU 0
Loading Week 2, 2026
Has the ball Grambling 0
Field position TCU GRAMBLING 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
TCU0.00.00.00.00.0
Grambling0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    TCU Grambling

    Talking points

    This season

    22%of passing downs work
    Offense

    Get out of passing downs

    TCU's plays work only 22% of the time on passing downs (second and 8 or more, third and 5 or more), against 30% for all teams. That ranks 127th of 137.

    64%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to K. Ashley

    J. Craig to K. Ashley works 64% of the time (18 of 28 throws, 21 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 38%. He gets 20% of the targets.

    43%of runs gain 4 or more
    Offense

    Give the backs a crease

    Only 43% of TCU's runs gain 4 yards or more, against 49% for all teams. That ranks 118th of 137.

    33%all teams 68%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 2nd and short

    Small sample

    Opponents' runs on 2nd and short (1-3 yards) work 33% of the time, against 68% for all teams (4 of 12 plays).

    28%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 28% of the time, against 41% for all teams (16 of 58 plays).

    All of TCU's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: TCU 98%, by about 32
    98% TCUGrambling 2%

    What TCU needs to do

    64%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to K. Ashley

    J. Craig to K. Ashley works 64% of the time (18 of 28 throws, 21 caught, 10.7 yards a throw). Grambling lets passes work 57% of the time (all teams 43%).

    45%Grambling allows 75%
    With the ball

    Run on 1st and long

    TCU's runs on 1st and long work 45% of the time (30 of 67), and Grambling lets them work 75% (6 of 8). All teams: 41%.

    42%TCU allows on 2nd and long
    On defense

    Shore up the pass defense on 2nd and long

    Grambling's passes on 2nd and long work 60% of the time (6 of 10), and TCU has let them work 42% (15 of 36). All teams: 39%.

    Tale of the tape

    TCU Grambling
    42%90th of 137 Plays that work on offense 26%
    42%95th of 137 Runs that work 0%
    43%76th of 137 Passes that work 38%
    39%81st of 137 Third downs converted 12%
    11%94th of 137 Big plays on offense 6%
    19%108th of 137 Runs stuffed for no gain 30%
    1.67108th of 137 Points per drive 0.88
    37%32nd of 137 Plays that work against the defense 65%
    33%35th of 137 Third downs allowed 20%
    7%49th of 137 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 5%
    8%111th of 137 Sacks allowed, per dropback 4%
    16%65th of 137 Havoc plays by the defense 7%
    1.2121st of 137 Points per drive allowed 3.11

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using TCU's 5 games and Grambling's 1 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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