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Has the ball Florida State 0
Loading Week 13, 2026
Has the ball Florida 0
Field position FLORIDA STATE FLORIDA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Florida State0.00.00.00.00.0
Florida0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Before kickoff

Keys to the game

Model: Florida 56%, by about 2
44% Florida StateFlorida 56%

What Florida State needs to do

56%of throws to him work
With the ball

Get the ball to M. Danzy

A. Daniels to M. Danzy works 56% of the time (9 of 16 throws, 15 caught, 15.2 yards a throw). Florida lets passes work 45% of the time (all teams 43%).

8%of dropbacks end in a sack
With the ball

Keep A. Daniels clean

A. Daniels has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (10 of 125), and Florida gets a sack on 7%. All teams: 5%.

78%Florida allows 89%
With the ball

Run on 3rd and short

Florida State's runs on 3rd and short work 78% of the time (7 of 9), and Florida lets them work 89% (8 of 9). All teams: 69%.

71%of throws to him work
On defense

Take away V. Brown III

A. Philo to V. Brown III works 71% of the time (12 of 17 throws, 15 caught, 12.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 51%.

62%Florida State allows on 2nd and medium
On defense

Shore up the pass defense on 2nd and medium

Florida's passes on 2nd and medium work 67% of the time (6 of 9), and Florida State has let them work 62% (5 of 8). All teams: 51%.

Tale of the tape

Florida State Florida
45%49th of 138 Plays that work on offense 19th of 13850%
48%43rd of 138 Runs that work 51st of 13847%
42%76th of 138 Passes that work 11th of 13854%
44%44th of 138 Third downs converted 49th of 13843%
17%8th of 138 Big plays on offense 10th of 13816%
12%28th of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 96th of 13818%
3.1811th of 138 Points per drive 2nd of 1383.67
43%95th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 110th of 13845%
40%93rd of 138 Third downs allowed 131st of 13849%
6%72nd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 59th of 1387%
8%108th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 37th of 1384%
14%83rd of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 32nd of 13817%
2.1294th of 138 Points per drive allowed 101st of 1382.22

Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Florida State's 5 games and Florida's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Florida State Florida

    Talking points

    This season

    8%of dropbacks end in a sack
    Offense

    Protect the quarterback

    A. Daniels has been sacked on 8% of dropbacks (10 of 125), against 5% for all teams.

    56%of throws to him work
    Offense

    Get the ball to M. Danzy

    A. Daniels to M. Danzy works 56% of the time (9 of 16 throws, 15 caught, 15.2 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 40%. He gets 16% of the targets.

    60%quarterback runs that work
    Offense

    A. Daniels's legs are the run game

    A. Daniels's runs work 60% of the time (26 of 43). Handoffs work 43% (51 of 119).

    49%of middle eight plays work against it
    Defense

    Hold the middle eight

    In the last four minutes of the first half and the first four of the second, opponents' plays work 49% of the time against Florida State, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 112th of 138.

    73%of third and short converted against them
    Defense

    Get off the field on third and short

    Small sample

    Opponents convert third and short 73% of the time (8 of 11), against about 62% for all teams.

    All of Florida State's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

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