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Has the ball Missouri 0
Loading Week 5, 2026
Has the ball Florida 0
Field position MISSOURI FLORIDA 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10

 

The situation

Waiting for the first snap

Once the game starts, this shows what each side needs and what it is trying to do on this snap.

Game flow

Points each offense has added, snap by snap. The line sits on the side of the team that has won more of the down-to-down battle.

Points added1st2nd3rd4thGame
Missouri0.00.00.00.00.0
Florida0.00.00.00.00.0

This is not a win probability. It adds up how much each play changed the points a team could expect from its field position. Kicks and returns are not counted.

Plays

    Next play

    Waiting for the snap

    Run–
    Pass–
    No call yet
    Last play

    The game has not started.

    Odds come from how every team calls this situation, shifted for how this team calls its own. This game's plays are left out.

    Passing game

    Passing

    This gameSeason

    Where the ball goes

    Season numbers are the other games this year plus this one so far. Short and deep are the stat crew's labels, so a few throws have neither.

    Team stats

    Missouri Florida

    Talking points

    This season

    28%of red zone plays work
    Offense

    Finish in the red zone

    Inside the 20, Missouri's plays work 28% of the time, against 43% for all teams. That ranks 129th of 133.

    62%passes that work
    Offense

    Throw it more on 1st & 7+

    On 1st & 7+ they run 60% of the time, but runs work 37% (29 of 79) and passes work 62% (32 of 52).

    18%of snaps wrecked by the defense
    Offense

    Keep the defense out of the backfield

    18% of Missouri's snaps end in a loss, a pass broken up or a turnover, against 15% for all teams. That ranks 124th of 138.

    22%all teams 41%
    Defense

    Stopping the run on 1st and long

    Opponents' runs on 1st and long (7 or more) work 22% of the time, against 41% for all teams (13 of 60 plays).

    29%all teams 48%
    Defense

    Stopping the run in the red zone

    Small sample

    Opponents' runs in the red zone work 29% of the time, against 48% for all teams (4 of 14 plays).

    All of Missouri's keys

    "Today" counts every play in this game so far and updates as it goes. "This season" leaves garbage time out. Copy puts the stat on your clipboard.

    From the season so far

    Keys to the game

    Model: Missouri 80%, by about 12
    80% MissouriFlorida 20%

    What Missouri needs to do

    63%of throws to him work
    With the ball

    Get the ball to C. Lee

    A. Simmons to C. Lee works 63% of the time (27 of 43 throws, 34 caught, 11.5 yards a throw). Florida lets passes work 45% of the time (all teams 43%).

    55%Florida allows 24%
    With the ball

    Florida takes away the pass on 2nd and medium

    Missouri's passes on 2nd and medium work 55% of the time (6 of 11), and Florida holds them to 24% (4 of 17). All teams: 51%.

    46%Florida allows 29%
    With the ball

    Throw on 3rd and long

    Missouri's passes on 3rd and long work 46% of the time (12 of 26), and Florida lets them work 29% (4 of 14). All teams: 26%.

    71%of throws to him work
    On defense

    Take away V. Brown III

    A. Philo to V. Brown III works 71% of the time (12 of 17 throws, 15 caught, 12.9 yards a throw). Everything else through the air works 51%.

    22%Missouri allows on 1st and long
    On defense

    Win 1st and long against the run

    Florida's runs on 1st and long work 36% of the time (27 of 75), and Missouri holds them to 22% (13 of 60). All teams: 41%.

    Tale of the tape

    Missouri Florida
    43%76th of 138 Plays that work on offense 19th of 13850%
    37%121st of 138 Runs that work 51st of 13847%
    50%21st of 138 Passes that work 11th of 13854%
    45%39th of 138 Third downs converted 49th of 13843%
    14%35th of 138 Big plays on offense 10th of 13816%
    18%102nd of 138 Runs stuffed for no gain 96th of 13818%
    2.4358th of 138 Points per drive 2nd of 1383.67
    34%17th of 138 Plays that work against the defense 110th of 13845%
    36%55th of 138 Third downs allowed 131st of 13849%
    9%23rd of 138 Sacks by the defense, per dropback 59th of 1387%
    3%29th of 138 Sacks allowed, per dropback 37th of 1384%
    23%4th of 138 Havoc plays by the defense 32nd of 13817%
    1.1213th of 138 Points per drive allowed 101st of 1382.22

    Each key sets one team's offense against the other's defense in the same situation, using Missouri's 5 games and Florida's 5 so far, garbage time left out. The bold number in the comparison is the better one, and the small number beside it is that team's rank among FBS teams. Havoc plays are losses, sacks, passes broken up and takeaways. The win chance comes from this site's power index, and it is not a betting line.

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