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What if

Compare two teams

Pick any team from any season stored here, set it against any other, and play the game out on a neutral field.

First team
against
Second team
2026 season

North Dakota State

5-0 Index 41st Offense C+ Defense A-
2026 season

UNLV

3-2 Index 84th Offense D+ Defense B

If they played

1,000 simulated games, neutral field

North Dakota State wins 70% of them

Average score 22-15
70% North Dakota State UNLV 30%
38%decided by 7 or fewer
19%decided by 21 or more
352 to 288average total yards
0.7 to 1.3average giveaways
Each press plays a new game from kickoff. Any single game can go either way.

A what-if, not a forecast of a real game. Run or pass comes from each offense's own tendencies in that situation. The yards come from how its plays went all season against how the other defense's opponents did, with each unit's overall level set by its opponent-adjusted grade. Turnovers happen at each side's own rate, pulled toward average. Penalties, returns, injuries, weather and home field are left out, and fourth downs follow a typical coach.

Side by side

North Dakota State UNLV

Overall

5-0 Record 3-2
41st of 137 Power index rank 84th of 137
C+, 75th Offense grade D+, 108th
A-, 24th Defense grade B, 43rd
128th hardest Schedule played 94th hardest

With the ball

33.6 Points per game 25.0
6.0 Yards per play 6.0
44% Plays that work 37%
207 Passing yards per game 218
174 Rushing yards per game 181
44% Third downs converted 39%
8.4 Big plays per game 8.4
2.48 Points per drive 1.95
49% Red zone plays that work 37%
15% Runs stuffed for no gain 13%
0.6 Giveaways per game 0.8

On defense

9.8 Points allowed per game 23.6
4.2 Yards allowed per play 5.6
37% Plays that work against it 39%
134 Passing yards allowed per game 250
103 Rushing yards allowed per game 135
34% Third downs allowed 38%
4.4 Big plays allowed per game 9.0
0.78 Points per drive allowed 1.72
46% Red zone plays that work against it 33%
17% Havoc plays made 18%
2.2 Takeaways per game 1.2

How they call it

58% Runs, share of plays 53%
66% Predictability 64%

Each team's numbers are from its own season. The bold number is the better one. Ranks and grades are against the other FBS teams of that same season, so a rank from one year and a rank from another are not the same yardstick. Yards and points are plain totals, not adjusted for opponent.

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